Coastal City Resilience: Infrastructure Adaptation for Ship Impact Mitigation in a Changing Climate

Our project will advance knowledge and technologies to improve resilience for coastal cities. We focus on the resilience of adaptation infrastructure (bridges, storm surge barriers) to changes in climate and shipping. Thus, our project aligns with the seed grant program9s research priority of climate change and sustainability.

Coastal cities are threatened by rising sea levels and stronger storms due to climate change. These hazards have motivated cities to consider adaptations via large infrastructure projects, e.g. bridges, breakwaters in Nagoya, storm surge barriers near Houston and New York City, and the emerald tutu in Boston. However, while numerous studies have predicted the benefits of these adaptations in reducing flooding, much less is known about how they may interact with ships, especially ship crashes. All of these cities are also major ports, and cargo ships continue to grow to and beyond existing infrastructure. Ship crashes have become more noticeable as “more volatile weather caused by climate change and ever-larger container ships mean the risk of losses may be rising.”

As cities (defined broadly to include the cities themselves, but also regional and national governments and agencies, e.g. USACE) consider large adaptations, they often are limited by knowledge gaps related to their technical performance. NC State and Nagoya researchers have the expertise and tools to advance knowledge and improve resilience of coastal adaptation infrastructure, but a seed grant is needed to initiate collaborations across our complementary skillsets.

JC Dietrich, T Nakamura, G Haikal, JE San Juan, Y Cho, T Tomita. “Coastal City Resilience: Infrastructure Adaptation for Ship Impact Mitigation in a Changing Climate.” NC State University, Office of Global Engagement, Nagoya University Collaborative Seed Grants, 2024/07/10, $7,000 and ¥1,000,000 (Dietrich: $2,334).

Subgrid Modeling for Compound Flooding in Coastal Systems

Compound flooding, the concurrence of multiple flooding mechanisms such as storm surge, heavy rainfall, and riverine flooding, poses a significant threat to coastal communities. To mitigate the impacts of compound flooding, forecasts must represent the variability of flooding drivers over a wide range of spatial scales while remaining timely. One approach to develop these forecasts is through subgrid corrections, which utilize information at smaller scales to “correct” water levels and current velocities averaged over the model scale. Recent studies have shown that subgrid models can improve both accuracy and efficiency; however, existing models are not able to account for the dynamic interactions of hydrologic and hydrodynamic drivers and their contributions to flooding along the smallest flow pathways when using a coarse resolution. Here, we have developed a solver called CoaSToRM (Coastal Subgrid Topography Research Model) with subgrid corrections to compute compound flooding in coastal systems resulting from fluvial, pluvial, tidal, and wind-driven processes. A key contribution is the model’s ability to enforce all flood drivers and use the subgrid corrections to improve the accuracy of the coarse-resolution simulation. The model is validated for Hurricane Eta 2020 in Tampa Bay, showing improved prediction accuracy with subgrid corrections at 42 locations. Subgrid models with coarse resolutions (R2 = 0.70, 0.73, 0.77 for 3-, 1.5-, 0.75-km grids) outperform standard counterparts (R2 = 0.03, 0.14, 0.26). A 3-km subgrid simulation runs roughly 50 times faster than a 0.75-km subgrid simulation, with similar accuracy.

A Begmohammadi, D Wirasaet, N Lin, JC Dietrich, D Bolster, AB Kennedy (2024). “Subgrid Modeling for Compound Flooding in Coastal Systems.” Coastal Engineering Journal, 66(3), 434-451, DOI: 10.1080/21664250.2024.2373482.

Posters: Summer 2024 Conferences

Conference : YCSECA 2024

Tomás & Molly get their Diplomas!

The CCHT celebrated the graduation of Tomás Cuevas López and Molly McKenna!

Tomás is now coastal scientist with DHI, but he worked remotely in Raleigh through the semester. Molly finished her BS and will pursue an MS degree and continue work in our DHS project. It was great to celebrate them at the graduation ceremony. We are proud of them!

Casey Dietrich, Molly McKenna, and Tomás Cuevas López after the graduation ceremony.

News: Oceans and Human Health Center

2024/03/19 – NCSU Civil, Construction, and Environmental Engineering
CCEE faculty to advance understanding of toxic algae blooms, protect human health as part of new NSF, NIEHS Center at NC State

ncsu-engr

Obenour will lead a project with Dietrich and Natalie Nelson (Department of Biological and Agricultural Engineering) focused on the development of models to predict the transport of cyanotoxins — toxins produced by cyanobacteria released in algae blooms — in coastal environments. The models will focus on coastal North Carolina, especially the estuaries and sounds where freshwaters mix with saline waters. With the models, researchers will evaluate where cyanotoxins may collect and where they may originate. They will also evaluate scenarios of future climate, such as how changes in temperature, river flows, and sea levels may affect the transport of cyanotoxin.

According to Obenour, “the research will protect public health by identifying cyanotoxin hotspots and by informing management actions to reduce cyanotoxin risks in the future.”

2024/02/28 – NCSU College of Sciences
NC State Receives $6.9 Million From NSF, NIEHS to Fund New Oceans and Human Health Center

ncsu-engr

NC C-CAPE will carry out three research projects. The goal of the first project is to understand the dynamics of harmful algal blooms and learn more about the presence and distribution of microcystin — a liver toxin — across the Pamlico-Albemarle Sound System, the country’s largest lagoonal estuary. They will then link spatiotemporal patterns to the contamination of seafood. The second project will define how microcystin mixtures influence mechanisms of liver toxicity in regulatory-relevant mammalian models and at-risk human populations. In the third project, researchers will work to predict microcystin distributions in water and seafood based on various environmental controls — and assess exposure risk in a changing climate. They will do so by integrating diverse data sets and coastal circulation modeling within a probabilistic modeling framework.